Hello friends, in the last issue we talked about the opportunities in 2025. In this issue, let’s take a look at the challenges in 25 years.
First, trade protectionism and policy uncertainty still exist. Some countries, such as the United States, may introduce new trade protection measures, such as imposing additional tariffs and strengthening export controls, which will trigger trade frictions and retaliation, disrupt the global value chain, increase trade costs and uncertainty, and be detrimental to global trade growth. Secondly, geopolitical risks have not disappeared. Regional conflicts and trade disputes will destabilize the international market, affect investor and consumer confidence, and may also interrupt and block trade routes. Global economic growth is uneven, with different countries and regions experiencing different economic growth rates. Some developed countries are experiencing economic slowdowns, and emerging economies also have their own development problems. This has led to an imbalance in global market demand and a weakening of import demand in some countries.
We should also pay attention to the risk of exchange rate fluctuations. The exchange rate fluctuations of major currencies such as the US dollar are uncertain. Geopolitical and US policy changes will affect the trend of the US dollar, and the Fed's interest rate cuts will also have an impact. Exchange rate fluctuations will affect the competitiveness of commodity prices and increase corporate exchange rate risks and operating costs. In addition, climate change and environmental protection requirements are becoming more and more stringent, and high-carbon and high-pollution industries and products are restricted. Although there are development opportunities for green, low-carbon, and environmentally friendly products and technology trade, companies must meet higher environmental standards and technical requirements, and costs and access difficulties have increased. Finally, market competition is also intensifying. The recovery of global trade and market opening require companies to work hard on product quality, price, technological innovation, brand building, etc. Companies with weak competitiveness may face a decline in market share or even difficulties in survival.
The above is the general situation of foreign trade in 2025. I hope it can be helpful to everyone. Remember to follow me.
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